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Battle of Manticore

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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by cthia   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:42 am

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kzt wrote:The only place that would take all Apollo armed ships would be Haven. Crushing capital fleet, and the fixed defenses. Which wasn't even on the list of possible targets. The whole awful book felt like someone going through a checklist. It's got pretty good scenes, but the overall plot feels like some went crazy with the plot hammer.

Oh, and notice for all of how David says that they were going to deploy Apollo system defense missiles next month, where were they? There are many tens of thousands of pods needed, which probably takes more than a day or two to produce and deploy. So they should have already been deploying huge numbers of them, as an Apollo pod can also be controlled by a non-Apollo based fire control system.

If I'm honest with myself, I think the one whose actions I'm more disappointed with or surprised by is Honor's. Honor knew the capabilities of Apollo like no one else. She also had to know that she wouldn't be needing all of the Apollo capable ships, or birds. Why didn't she say—at the very least— "Hey, why don't you guys allow me to detach Able 1 2 & 3 just in case someone breaks into the store while you're minding it!"

Because if anyone should have seen the possibility and even probability of such an attack should have been Honor. IINM, textev even favored Honor of being the only one who possibly did foresee it.

One thing is for certain, D'Orville had to have winced internally and swallowed a certain retort "Where the hell are my Apollo birds? How the phuck did I allow myself to be talked into letting Harrington take all of them!"

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by munroburton   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 9:27 am

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cthia wrote:If I'm honest with myself, I think the one whose actions I'm more disappointed with or surprised by is Honor's. Honor knew the capabilities of Apollo like no one else. She also had to know that she wouldn't be needing all of the Apollo capable ships, or birds. Why didn't she say—at the very least— "Hey, why don't you guys allow me to detach Able 1 2 & 3 just in case someone breaks into the store while you're minding it!"

Because if anyone should have seen the possibility and even probability of such an attack should have been Honor. IINM, textev even favored Honor of being the only one who possibly did foresee it.

One thing is for certain, D'Orville had to have winced internally and swallowed a certain retort "Where the hell are my Apollo birds? How the phuck did I allow myself to be talked into letting Harrington take all of them!"


Sometimes I think Apollo's effectiveness took everyone by surprise, including ol' Salamander herself. But yeah, she had several weeks more than everyone else to think about the consequences, as Eighth Fleet travelled home to deliver the news.

It all comes back to timing. Theisman had already done about a month or two of preparations for Beatrice, before Lovat, which made it possible to launch Beatrice in the tiny time window they had before Manticore's system-defense Apollos were ready and caught everyone off guard.
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by cthia   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 11:54 am

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munroburton wrote:
cthia wrote:If I'm honest with myself, I think the one whose actions I'm more disappointed with or surprised by is Honor's. Honor knew the capabilities of Apollo like no one else. She also had to know that she wouldn't be needing all of the Apollo capable ships, or birds. Why didn't she say—at the very least— "Hey, why don't you guys allow me to detach Able 1 2 & 3 just in case someone breaks into the store while you're minding it!"

Because if anyone should have seen the possibility and even probability of such an attack should have been Honor. IINM, textev even favored Honor of being the only one who possibly did foresee it.

One thing is for certain, D'Orville had to have winced internally and swallowed a certain retort "Where the hell are my Apollo birds? How the phuck did I allow myself to be talked into letting Harrington take all of them!"


Sometimes I think Apollo's effectiveness took everyone by surprise, including ol' Salamander herself. But yeah, she had several weeks more than everyone else to think about the consequences, as Eighth Fleet travelled home to deliver the news.

It all comes back to timing. Theisman had already done about a month or two of preparations for Beatrice, before Lovat, which made it possible to launch Beatrice in the tiny time window they had before Manticore's system-defense Apollos were ready and caught everyone off guard.

Indeed to all of your points. If I may add...

Yea, everyone keeps trying to pass the buck and blame it all on what amounts to a simple clerical error. At least it isn't being blamed on the alcohol, although compared to this, alcohol would be a much better excuse.

Well, the buck stops here. It is no excuse that the system defense pods wouldn't be available for another month. In that case the solution was still very simple; delay Eighth Fleet's objectives for a month. It wouldn't have mattered if the initiative was temporarily lost to the Havenites, if a mighty thrust to the heart of the Havenites was in the very near future—checkmate!

After Apollo was distributed to at least one RMN fleet, then there should never have existed any such "window of opportunity" for the RHN to invade the Manticoran system, period. UNLESS under penalty of incompetence.

Apollo effectively closed that window—a window that was realistically open to both polities pre-Apollo.

The reason that should have been the call anyways, to deploy at least a minimal subset of Apollo in Home fleet—even if all else was equal— besides it being the smartest thing to do... strategically is...

1. It is the smartest thing to do strategically.

Why? Because you...

2. Always protect the Home system first and foremost. It is the number one priority. And this has now become both your number one offensive and defensive weapon.

3. Protect your Queen—which is recursively synonymous to protecting Manticore. And you always do that with your most advanced weaponry, because your home system is the most valuable resource and objective.

However, even amidst all of the above three being painfully obvious and a given for any navy, the RMN is tasked with a very important added responsibility. Their very life-blood may depend on this newly self-created responsibility...



4 PROTECT APOLLO ITSELF—

For the simple and clear fact that the full production force of the birds wasn't yet on the table and wouldn't be for another month... Which means that your first priority has now become protect the production facilities at all costs as the new first order of business—of duty even. It has morphed into your new heir of responsibility and to do anything less would represent a gross dereliction of duty. It would be criminal negligence. Manticore AND the production facilities has become synonymous in importance.

Which strategically meant that everything that the RMN absolutely needed to immediately and critically protect was at home. And, after Apollo was invented and introduced a game changer, it represented a priceless investment. "Apollo" should have become the "Queen" by friendly takeover. By unveiling Apollo, the RMN jeopardized the entire Apollo program and could have lost it. If I were the Havenites, I would have made an attempt at the production facilities immediately. Do what the Japanese relatedly failed to do at Pearl Harbor by leaving the oil fields intact. Do what armies used to do against fortifications just about to get a Gatling gun ready. Attack before the scale tips decisively. The tactic is nothing new.

The Havenites could have planned an attack to destroy the Apollo production facilities just as the Malign did.

It questions why their most powerful fleet—which was NOT positioned smartly and strategically at home where she belonged so she could readily protect the honor of the Queen, Manticore and the Apollo production facilities itself—wasn't at least off on a mission spearheading its own thrust to the Havenite's capital of Nouveau Paris instead of beating up on one of the flunkies.

It is as if the RMN distracted their own most powerful fleet. It is as if the RMN shot its own CM against its own Eighth Fleet and Eighth fleet went chasing off after "false targets" or "objectives."

It I didn't know any better, and I do. It was if Harrington experienced the intoxicating effect of raw power and it temporarily went to her head and she became mad with power and had to leave the system brimming with power and loaded for bear to go pick on someone. And even though she was loaded for Peak Bear, all she was really expecting to encounter were a few Gremlins.

She had to show off. Instead of plan.

It is what it somewhat felt like to me as a reader. Yet I knew better.

TBH, the true effectiveness of Apollo had to be first acquired, and I suppose Honor didn't already know how effective it'd prove to be either. Though I'm having a hard time convincing myself of that.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by munroburton   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 12:20 pm

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Before we run away with blaming the Navy, let's not forget that Elizabeth ordered the attack on Lovat as a response to the attempted poisoning of Queen Berry.
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by Sigs   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 12:28 pm

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munroburton wrote:Before we run away with blaming the Navy, let's not forget that Elizabeth ordered the attack on Lovat as a response to the attempted poisoning of Queen Berry.


And if the Navy Senior officers were to argue against the attack? Do you think she would have gone against the advice of her senior officers if they told her that hey you majesty but that might not be the best way to ago about it...
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by Sigs   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 12:42 pm

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munroburton wrote:It all comes back to timing. Theisman had already done about a month or two of preparations for Beatrice, before Lovat, which made it possible to launch Beatrice in the tiny time window they had before Manticore's system-defense Apollos were ready and caught everyone off guard.

No he had not...

He said that they could hit Manticore between 10 weeks to 3 months from the day Prichard told them to go and if he were allowed to move some units ahead of time they could hit closer to the 10 week mark rather than the 3 month mark.

But to be totally fair, if they had not preposition anything and took the full 3 months to get from her saying go to hitting Manticore they would have hit about middle of august... Their discussion is in Chapter 54 of At All Costs.

This was also before Manticore trashed 3rd Fleet, so if this war real life enemy they would have stripped everything they could get their hands on, including Capital Fleet and send it all out to attack Manticore. If they had launched a fleet of 500-600 SD(P)s in a desperate gamble even if it had taken them the full 3 months it would have benefited them much more.
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by Star Knight   » Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:39 pm

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munroburton wrote:Before we run away with blaming the Navy, let's not forget that Elizabeth ordered the attack on Lovat as a response to the attempted poisoning of Queen Berry.

Yeah no. Its not the job of the Queen to formulate attack plans. And she didnt, she just decided to resume the hostilities.
White Haven screwed up when he chose to go with the months old, pre Apollo attack plan on Lovat.
viewtopic.php?f=1&t=8437&start=20
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by Robert_A_Woodward   » Mon Dec 12, 2016 3:05 am

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Star Knight wrote:
munroburton wrote:Before we run away with blaming the Navy, let's not forget that Elizabeth ordered the attack on Lovat as a response to the attempted poisoning of Queen Berry.

Yeah no. Its not the job of the Queen to formulate attack plans. And she didnt, she just decided to resume the hostilities.
White Haven screwed up when he chose to go with the months old, pre Apollo attack plan on Lovat.
viewtopic.php?f=1&t=8437&start=20


The attack plan on Lovat that was reactivated included Apollo and Mistletoe. Check chapter 44 of _At All Costs_. Of course, this makes claim that Apollo was unveiled prematurely more acute.
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Beowulf was bad.
(first sentence of Chapter VI of _Space Viking_ by H. Beam Piper)
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by Star Knight   » Tue Dec 13, 2016 3:42 am

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Robert_A_Woodward wrote:
Star Knight wrote:Yeah no. Its not the job of the Queen to formulate attack plans. And she didnt, she just decided to resume the hostilities.
White Haven screwed up when he chose to go with the months old, pre Apollo attack plan on Lovat.
viewtopic.php?f=1&t=8437&start=20


The attack plan on Lovat that was reactivated included Apollo and Mistletoe. Check chapter 44 of _At All Costs_. Of course, this makes claim that Apollo was unveiled prematurely more acute.

Of course Apollo was used at Lovat, i never claimed otherwise. The point is, they just went with the old attack plan without thinking about how Apollo changed the strategic outlook.
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Re: Battle of Manticore
Post by Robert_A_Woodward   » Tue Dec 13, 2016 4:25 am

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Star Knight wrote:
Robert_A_Woodward wrote:
(snip of Star Knight post claiming that Lovat attack should not had been done)

The attack plan on Lovat that was reactivated included Apollo and Mistletoe. Check chapter 44 of _At All Costs_. Of course, this makes claim that Apollo was unveiled prematurely more acute.

Of course Apollo was used at Lovat, i never claimed otherwise. The point is, they just went with the old attack plan without thinking about how Apollo changed the strategic outlook.


The ORIGINAL attack plan on Lovat which was created before the stand down due to Monica and the temporary truce with Haven included Apollo and Mistletoe. (if I am incorrect in assuming that you had forgotten this, I apologize)
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Beowulf was bad.
(first sentence of Chapter VI of _Space Viking_ by H. Beam Piper)
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