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The Grand Alliance Grand Attack

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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by timmopussycat   » Wed Nov 26, 2014 4:53 pm

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Armed Neo-Bob wrote:While I agree that Rose has a good analysis, I can't agree much with fallfromtrees. I do like the last paragraph though. Unfortunately, the rest of it is looking through rose-colored glasses.

Peaceful democratic governments? What gave you that idea?

The US negotiated the 1846 Oregon Treaty while it was at war with Mexico. The government didn't want to fight two territorial wars at the same time. The 54-40 line was the southern limit of Russian Imperial Territory, which the US bought later (Alaska). If the US had made that the border, Canada (became a Nation in 1870) wouldn't have had a west coast at all.


Nitpick alert: Canada became a nation in 1867 with Confederation. That did not include the colony of BC which joined in 1871.
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by Armed Neo-Bob   » Fri Nov 28, 2014 1:32 pm

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timmopussycat wrote:
Armed Neo-Bob wrote:While I agree that Rose has a good analysis, I can't agree much with fallfromtrees. I do like the last paragraph though. Unfortunately, the rest of it is looking through rose-colored glasses.

Peaceful democratic governments? What gave you that idea?

The US negotiated the 1846 Oregon Treaty while it was at war with Mexico. The government didn't want to fight two territorial wars at the same time. The 54-40 line was the southern limit of Russian Imperial Territory, which the US bought later (Alaska). If the US had made that the border, Canada (became a Nation in 1870) wouldn't have had a west coast at all.




Nitpick alert: Canada became a nation in 1867 with Confederation. That did not include the colony of BC which joined in 1871.


Nor did it include Newfoundland, which didn't join until after WWII; and I run into people every so often who don't know Greenland is Danish. I will gladly concede I didn't look up the dates, just ran from memory, and I last read Canadian History as an undergrad. About 30 years or so ago :o

Worth noting, also, that Italy and Germany became "nations" just a few years later (1871).

Rob
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by SharkHunter   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:11 am

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I am in agreement that "just taking out the Mandarins" ends the Solarian League, for a simple reason: if it were that easy, the Alignment would have done it. The Mesans know it won't work, the League has to fall into smaller size chunks.

That or Honor and the RMN's strategy would be to decapitate the monster itself. They could have beat street via the wormholes taken in just Lacoon 1, let alone 2, and then blitzkrieg controlled the planetary orbitals of Earth AND Mars from "Sol system Polar North or South" WAY before Filereta even finished assembling his forces. At which point -- as they've surmised, Manticore is the aggressor and the remaining seventeen hundred plus systems or some chunk of them eventually come up with the tech and steamroller the Star Empire, etc. following a formal declaration of war in the Solarian Assembly or it's remnants.

Besides which, at this point in the Honorverse, the SEM doesn't care if the League breaks up into manageable pieces, even if they don't fire so much as a hand pulsar or LAC size point defense cluster to make it happen. The SEM/Grand Alliance knows that they have enough firepower -- or will shortly, to blow every known SLN shipyard into orbital debris, at which point they have...

Something like the nightmare of the Silesian Confederacy. What QEIII and company DO care about is insuring that what comes next isn't worse, aka that the universe ends up with the stable, "sentient-being's rights honoring" sectors and systems. not a bunch of warlords with great big starship navies and no morals.

Meaning that the SLN or the SLN bits aren't the biggest problem anymore, though defending Beowulf might be. Big problem is that you have a single set of folks gunning to dismantle and then commandeer the whole enchilada of human-controlled space and have around twelve planetary systems with billions of genetically enhanced "supermen" taught from birth that they have the right to run the galaxy, and their amoral leaders backing the Detweiler's big play.
Last edited by SharkHunter on Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
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All my posts are YMMV, IMHO, and welcoming polite discussion, extension, and rebuttal. This is the HonorVerse, after all
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by SharkHunter   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:21 am

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Oh wow. First post in a topic and we get this...

Hutch wrote:They will be deployed to handle any large ISLN base(s) or heavily-defended areas (Yildun) that require the “Hulk Smash” approach. Mostly they will be the ‘muscle’ behind the raiding and diplomatic efforts (“refuse to negotiate? Well, herrrreeeee’s Lester!”)


I bow before your awesomely impressive humor. I haven't read anything nearly that funny outside of some of Eric Flint's wry commentaries in his portion of the Honorverse.
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All my posts are YMMV, IMHO, and welcoming polite discussion, extension, and rebuttal. This is the HonorVerse, after all
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by stewart   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:48 am

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Zakharra wrote:One thing the GA/SEM will have to deal with is when the SL does come apart, some of the systems/groups of systems that are asking for some help and/or protection and are willing to at least sign some treaties with the GA/SEM, might not be free democracies. They might be dictatorships along the lines of 'Peoples Free Republic of <insert system/planet/nation state>' or new empires, corporatocracies or whatnot, not-so-free societies, that are willing to deal with the GA/SEM. At that point the GA/SEM will have to decide if it wants to play ball with them or will it add in another condition of a free populace. It's going to be especially problematic if the population likes the ruling government. There's likely going to be a huge mix of rapidly changing societies and such, anything from what I've mentioned above, to truly free anarchists societies to anything in between. There might be rises of soviet Socialist Republics that nationalize the property of some transstellars that had/might have owned much of the planet. There might even be several BF admirals that take over small/large sections of the League and offer to agree to the basic terms of the HD.

What are your thoughts on this?


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We probably need to look at Henke / Gold Peak's example in Meyers.
She offered a treaty relationship IF the system / planetary government legitimately secured basic rights for all its citizens.
She explicitly noted that the treaty benefits would NOT happen if those basic rights were not guaranteed.

-- Stewart
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by Hutch   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 9:42 am

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SharkHunter wrote:Oh wow. First post in a topic and we get this...

Hutch wrote:They will be deployed to handle any large ISLN base(s) or heavily-defended areas (Yildun) that require the “Hulk Smash” approach. Mostly they will be the ‘muscle’ behind the raiding and diplomatic efforts (“refuse to negotiate? Well, herrrreeeee’s Lester!”)


I bow before your awesomely impressive humor. I haven't read anything nearly that funny outside of some of Eric Flint's wry commentaries in his portion of the Honorverse.



You're entirely welcome (presuming you are not being sarcastic--I have trouble figuring out sarcastic-but I take the compliment at face value).

And quite prescient of you to mention Eric...since I sort of borrowed the idea from him (see 1634: The Baltic War and Mike Stearns negotiations with Hamburg).
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What? Look, somebody's got to have some damn perspective around here! Boom. Sooner or later. BOOM! -LT. Cmdr. Susan Ivanova, Babylon 5
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by Zakharra   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 1:49 pm

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SharkHunter wrote:I am in agreement that "just taking out the Mandarins" ends the Solarian League, for a simple reason: if it were that easy, the Alignment would have done it. The Mesans know it won't work, the League has to fall into smaller size chunks.

That or Honor and the RMN's strategy would be to decapitate the monster itself. They could have beat street via the wormholes taken in just Lacoon 1, let alone 2, and then blitzkrieg controlled the planetary orbitals of Earth AND Mars from "Sol system Polar North or South" WAY before Filereta even finished assembling his forces. At which point -- as they've surmised, Manticore is the aggressor and the remaining seventeen hundred plus systems or some chunk of them eventually come up with the tech and steamroller the Star Empire, etc. following a formal declaration of war in the Solarian Assembly or it's remnants.

Besides which, at this point in the Honorverse, the SEM doesn't care if the League breaks up into manageable pieces, even if they don't fire so much as a hand pulsar or LAC size point defense cluster to make it happen. The SEM/Grand Alliance knows that they have enough firepower -- or will shortly, to blow every known SLN shipyard into orbital debris, at which point they have...

Something like the nightmare of the Silesian Confederacy. What QEIII and company DO care about is insuring that what comes next isn't worse, aka that the universe ends up with the stable, "sentient-being's rights honoring" sectors and systems. not a bunch of warlords with great big starship navies and no morals.

Meaning that the SLN or the SLN bits aren't the biggest problem anymore, though defending Beowulf might be. Big problem is that you have a single set of folks gunning to dismantle and then commandeer the whole enchilada of human-controlled space and have around twelve planetary systems with billions of genetically enhanced "supermen" taught from birth that they have the right to run the galaxy, and their amoral leaders backing the Detweiler's big play.



that's a pretty good post. The part about the SL devolving into something like the Silesia Confederacy (but 100 times worse) is well taken. I do however have to point out you made an error in the last paragraph. The vast majority of the people on the systems that will be the RF are ordinary humans. Not alfa lines, beta lines or gama lines, but ordinary unaltered humans. The leaders and people aligned with the MAlign have had to keep it a secret because they know how the rest of the population would have reacted if they knew who they were and who they were truly loyal too. Badly.

There is simply no way that there could be billions of people in those twelve systems (goddess.. I just had a flashback to BSG. The Twelve Colonies) could be genetically enhanced and know about it and not have spilled the beans somewhere on the air or in literature so someone else found out about it. Especially the SL leadership. So those lines are very well hidden.


We probably need to look at Henke / Gold Peak's example in Meyers.
She offered a treaty relationship IF the system / planetary government legitimately secured basic rights for all its citizens.
She explicitly noted that the treaty benefits would NOT happen if those basic rights were not guaranteed.


Somehow I doubt that will be boilerplate for all treaties. At some point the SEM will have to accept that it -will- have to make treaties with stellar nations that -don't- treat their citizens as the SEM wants them to, but the government of said system is willing to be peaceful to the SEM as long as the SEM keeps its nose out of their business. It's called reality. In making international treaties, even when you have a clear military advantage, you do not always get to dictate how the other side manages its own internal affairs. It's even worse when the stipulation is clearly one sided, and it gives the side dictating the terms unequivocal control over the other side. If the SEM is trying to make friends of the collapsed SL successor states, having stipulations like that will not help the SEM's reputation by trying to meddle in the internal affairs of other nations.

There's likely going to be some very ugly and dictatorial forms of government forming in the coming chaos, so the SEM won't really be able to pick and choose who it wants to do business with in order to attain the peace it wants, unless it becomes the evil it is trying to fight. ie the SEM/.GA becomes the next Solarian League by taking over every system that does not conform to their viewpoints. Which would only end up convincing everyone that the SEM purposefully caused the collapse of the SL just to eat as much of it as it could.
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by JeffEngel   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 2:44 pm

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Zakharra wrote:There's likely going to be some very ugly and dictatorial forms of government forming in the coming chaos, so the SEM won't really be able to pick and choose who it wants to do business with in order to attain the peace it wants, unless it becomes the evil it is trying to fight. ie the SEM/.GA becomes the next Solarian League by taking over every system that does not conform to their viewpoints. Which would only end up convincing everyone that the SEM purposefully caused the collapse of the SL just to eat as much of it as it could.

Agreed that they will have to pretty well take the acceptable treaty partners as they can find, create, or assist them into being. I'm less confident though that many of those nascent governments will be all that nasty internally.

At least within the League, nominally generous civil rights are the norm (correct me if that's off, please) and planets are presumably going to keep that, and are less likely to tolerate infringements on that by a new interstellar government than they are to tolerate it from their own governments. Carrying on with nominally generous rights regimes combined with fairly frequent de facto knocks on them is entirely possible - it's drearily familiar on Earth now, after all - but still, as nastiness goes, that's got some limits to it.

Outside the League proper, local governments in collusion with, or under the thumbs of, transtellars are treating people like dirt, but if Meyers is a good example, making something better out of them may be more the rule than the exception. Certainly the populace of those worlds do have a lot of familiarity with what being treated lie dirt is, and in a revolutionary mood would support an alternative that's got a good shot at remaining an improvement.

That leaves a lot of room for black hats and grubby souls, but the general picture can be optimistic.
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by kzt   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 4:11 pm

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Zakharra wrote:
There is simply no way that there could be billions of people in those twelve systems (goddess.. I just had a flashback to BSG. The Twelve Colonies) could be genetically enhanced and know about it and not have spilled the beans somewhere on the air or in literature so someone else found out about it. Especially the SL leadership. So those lines are very well hidden.

How many people said they were communists in Russia in 1916? How about 1924? Nazis in 1924 vs 1934? Everybody wants to jump on the winning train as it pull out.
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Re: The Grand Alliance Grand Attack
Post by Lord Skimper   » Sun Dec 07, 2014 4:21 pm

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The key to attacking a large area with a small very good force is to keep them together and don't let them know you are coming.

The way it works is they only know you are coming if a ship goes there and says you are coming.

You take your fleet forces and you visit each place leaving behind a picket of LAC and small cruisers. You kill who you have to kill, you take the surrender of some places, etc....

It takes very few superior ships to take over and control a vast area. In medieval times people only knew about an attack after someone who saw it reported it to them. The conquerors would ride into a town or city and sack it or accept its surrender. They didn't have vast armies under their command usually just one or two.

The Honorverse can work the same way.

As for a diplomatic ship, a Nike with a small escort can dispatch pretty much anything a single system can put in its way. For larger concentrations half a dozen SD(P) can handle pretty much anything else, or a larger force can come in and wipe them out.

Honor and Mike operating the two fleets can conquer the SL in a year or two. Lester and Truman can handle diplomatic operations. Everyone else can hold the fort and handle escort duties.

3-600 SD(P) and another 3-600 BCL and Cruisers can mop up the SL in a couple three years.
Last edited by Lord Skimper on Sun Dec 07, 2014 4:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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